America’s “left-behind” are doing better than ever

A collage featuring pictures of the manufacturing sector in swing states.

2024-08-08  1124  困难

In the decades before Mr Trump’s election in 2016, few groups fared worse than men without a high-school education—one definition of the left-behind. The decline of America’s manufacturing sector closed off economic opportunities to workers whose hard and soft skills were weak. In 1979 a man with a college education earned about 60% more a week than one who had dropped out of high school. By 2016 the “college-wage premium” was 170% (see chart). The relative risk of unemployment grew. Thousands dropped out of the labour force entirely. Much of this economic misery was concentrated in out-of-the-way, unfashionable places, in parts of rustbelt states such as Michigan and Ohio, which received little attention from either politicians or the national press.

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