The trial of Lucy Letby has shocked British statisticians

Collage of Chris Whitty and Boris Johnson in front of a bar chart. Johnson looks confused at the data when Whitty looks leveled.

2024-08-22  1380  困难

They do, however, have very strong views on the way her trial—which relied in part on analysis of hospital rotas—proceeded. “The conviction is unsafe,” says Peter Green, a maths professor at Bristol University. It was the kind of case “that leaves a bad taste in the mouth,” says Philip Dawid, a statistics professor at Cambridge University. Statisticians were “shocked”, another eminent professor explains, by the way the trial weighed the probability of seemingly extraordinary events.

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