GUARDIAN | Opinion
Nobody knows what would follow regime change in Iran – but what happened in 1979 offers some pointers
没人知道伊朗政权更迭后会发生什么——但1979年发生的事情为我们提供了一些线索

A billboard in Tehran of the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei that translates as: ‘We know US president as a criminal following anti-government protests’, 2 February 2026.
2026-02-15 1229词 困难
Such scenes prompted many to recall the last days of the shah of Iran, when millions took to the streets. And as we live through contemporary events, there are striking similarities between then and now that should inform the debate about what may happen, about our hopes and our fears. One obvious parallel is the central role of economics. Soaring inflation was a key trigger for the most recent unrest. It was almost 50 years ago as well. In 1977, the price of basic consumer goods rose as much as 27%. Then, too, the key actors were shopkeepers and businessmen in Tehran’s bazaar whose livelihoods were threatened.
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