HBR  |  Managing uncertainty

What Companies that Excel at Strategic Foresight Do Differently

擅长战略前瞻的公司与众不同之处

What Companies that Excel at Strategic Foresight Do Differently
2026-01-08  2364  晦涩
字体大小

By strategic foresight, we mean the disciplined practice of scanning for change, exploring multiple plausible futures, and using those insights to make better choices in the present. The field traces back to Cold War military planning but was embraced by the corporate world in the 1960s and ‘70s, when companies such asRoyal Dutch Shellbegan using scenarios to rehearse possible shocks rather than betting on a single forecast. Today’s methods range from monitoring emerging signals to war games to scenario planning—with AI rapidly expanding capabilities.

请登录后继续阅读完整文章

还没有账号?立即注册

成为会员后您将享受无限制的阅读体验,并可使用更多功能,了解更多


免责声明:本文来自网络公开资料,仅供学习交流,其观点和倾向不代表本站立场。