Headlines, policy briefs, and congressional hearings treat Goldman Sachs’ widely cited 2023 estimate that roughly 300 million jobs worldwide are “exposed” to generative AI as a prediction that AI will eliminate many of those jobs. The Goldman Sachs figure is derived from occupational-task lists and asks whether an AI system could perform some portion of employees’ current tasks—summarizing documents, drafting routine text, coding standard functions or analyzing familiar datasets. Many politicians and commentators assume that if AI can perform some of a job’s tasks, the role will disappear.